Free · 4% Rule · 2026 · USA

Retirement Savings Calculator — Your Number

Advertisement

⚙ Calculator coming soon — use the information below to calculate manually.

Enter values above to calculate
Advertisement

How Much Do You Need to Retire?

The most widely used retirement planning framework is the 4% rule, developed from the Trinity Study. It states that you can safely withdraw 4% of your portfolio per year in retirement without running out of money over 30 years. This means your retirement number = annual expenses × 25.

Calculate Your Retirement Number

Monthly Expenses in RetirementAnnual ExpensesRetirement Number (25x)
$3,000$36,000$900,000
$5,000$60,000$1,500,000
$7,000$84,000$2,100,000
$10,000$120,000$3,000,000

Why the 4% Rule Works

The Trinity Study analyzed every 30-year retirement period from 1926 to 2017 using historical US stock and bond returns. A portfolio of 60% stocks / 40% bonds with 4% annual withdrawals succeeded in over 95% of all historical periods — including the Great Depression, World War II, the 1970s inflation crisis, and the 2008 crash. The 4% withdrawal grows with inflation each year.

Adjusting for Social Security and Pensions

If you will receive Social Security, subtract that income from your needed annual withdrawal. Example: you need $60,000/year. Social Security pays $24,000/year. Your portfolio only needs to cover $36,000/year. Retirement number = $36,000 × 25 = $900,000 instead of $1,500,000. This is why maximizing Social Security by delaying to age 70 is one of the highest-value retirement decisions.

What Rate of Return Should You Assume?

For long-term retirement projections, most financial planners use 7–8% nominal returns (historical US stock market average minus fees). Adjusted for 3% inflation, the real return is approximately 4–5%. Use 7% for general planning and stress-test at 5% to see your worst-case scenario.

Advertisement

Practical Application

Use this calculator as a starting point, not a final answer. Run three scenarios: pessimistic (lower returns, higher costs, worst-case tax rates), base case (your expected scenario), and optimistic (favorable conditions). The range between these three scenarios tells you how much uncertainty surrounds your plan and how much buffer you need.

Once you have your numbers, cross-reference them with complementary calculators. A mortgage payment should be checked against your overall budget and DTI ratio. A retirement projection should account for Social Security income, potential pension, and healthcare costs in retirement. Tax calculations should be checked against available deductions and credits you may qualify for. No single calculator captures everything.

Tax Efficiency Across Accounts

Where you hold investments matters as much as what you hold. High-growth assets belong in Roth accounts where growth is tax-free. Income-producing assets like bonds belong in traditional 401(k) or IRA where taxes are deferred. Tax-managed index funds belong in taxable brokerage where you can harvest losses. This asset location strategy adds 0.2-0.4% annually to after-tax returns without changing your investments at all.

The lifetime value of proper tax planning for a median American household is approximately $150,000-300,000 in additional wealth at retirement — the difference between tax-smart and tax-naive investment management over 30 years. Most of this benefit comes from three decisions made once: choosing the right account types, maximizing employer match, and selecting low-cost index funds.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the 4% rule for retirement?+
The 4% rule states you can withdraw 4% of your retirement portfolio each year without running out of money over 30 years. Your retirement number is annual expenses multiplied by 25. A $60,000/year lifestyle needs a $1.5 million portfolio.
How much should I save per month for retirement?+
The rule of thumb is save 15% of gross income for retirement starting in your 20s. At 10% return, $500/month from age 25 grows to $2.7 million by 65. Starting at 35, the same $500/month reaches only $1 million. Starting early is far more powerful than saving more later.
Does the 4% rule account for Social Security?+
No — the 4% rule applies to your investment portfolio only. Social Security income reduces how much your portfolio needs to provide. If SS pays $2,000/month, that is $24,000/year less your portfolio needs to generate. Subtract SS and pension income from your annual need before calculating your retirement number.
Related US Calculators
Advertisement